Truck Driver Turnover Declined in Fourth Quarter

JOC Staff | Mar 14, 2013 12:16PM EDT

The turnover rate for drivers in the truckload sector took a “surprising dip” in the fourth quarter of 2012, probably driven by a weakened economy and overall freight volumes, according to the American Trucking Associations’ Trucking Activity Report.

Turnover at large truckload carriers fell from an annualized rate of 104 percent in the third quarter of 2012 to 90 percent in the fourth quarter, while turnover at smaller truckload fleets dropped from 94 percent in the previous quarter to 76 percent.

For the full year of 2012, turnover at large carriers averaged 98 percent, while turnover at smaller carriers averaged 82 percent. Both turnovers were the highest averages since 2007.

“As freight volumes slid a bit at the end of 2012, we saw turnover follow suit,” said Bob Costello, ATA chief economist, in a written statement. He claimed that as it stands now, the trucking industry is still short between 20,000 and 25,000 drivers, a figure he said that will increase as the freight economy accelerates.

“Once we see steadier, more robust economic growth, we could see the industry that is short by as many as 239,000 drivers by 2022,” Costello said.

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Second Quarter GDP Revised Up to 1.7%

The gross domestic product was revised to a 1.7% annual rate in the second quarter from the initially reported 1.5%, the Commerce Department said Wednesday.

The revised GDP rate follows a 2% pace in the first quarter, Commerce said in its report on gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced.

The report showed consumer spending rose at a 1.7% annual rate revised from a 1.5% initial estimate. The GDP estimate is the second of three.

Business inventories previously reported as contributing 0.32% to growth, subtracted 0.23%.

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Ontario fleet optimism wanes heading into fourth quarter

TORONTO, Ont. -- Ontario carriers are less certain about their immediate future, according to the latest Ontario Trucking Association (OTA) quarterly survey.

The number of carriers reporting they were unsure about the industry's prospects jumped sharply from 26% last quarter to 40% in the Q4 survey. That marks the highest level of uncertainty since the second quarter of 2008, the OTA reports.

Still, 55% of responding carriers were optimistic about the industry's prospects over the next three months, down from 64% in the Q3 survey. There have now been three consecutive quarterly declines in optimism among Ontario fleets, the survey has found.

But while fleets may be less optimistic, they aren't panicking just yet. The number of carriers saying they were pessimistic about the industry's prospects actually declined from 9% last quarter to 5% in the fourth quarter.

The OTA survey found freight volumes are steady, with 57% of carriers indicating intra-Ontario freight is about the same as last quarter and 36% reporting improved volumes. Forty-nine per cent said interprovincial freight has stayed the same with 39% reporting improvements from last quarter. Meanwhile, carriers reported some modest improvement in the southbound US market, with 21% reporting improved volumes compared to only 19% in the last quarterly survey. Most carriers (58%) said northbound volumes have remained about the same.

As rates go, most respondents said they were "about the same" while some fleets (21%) noted improvements in southbound US rates.

The latest OTA survey found, not surprisingly, that carriers are being faced with rising costs. Sixty-four per cent reported fuel costs increases of more than 10% over the past year; 86% reported an increase in maintenance costs; 80% complained of higher tire costs; labour costs rose for 88% of carriers; the majority of fleets noted rising employee benefits costs; and 52% of fleets said they've had to pay between 2-10% more for new tractors.

Most carriers reported no change to the percentage of loaded miles they are running and the average length of haul appears to have remained steady since the previous survey.

Half of responding carriers said they expect capacity will stay the same over the next six months, up from 22% in the Q3 survey. Twenty-nine per cent, meanwhile, expect capacity to decrease and 21% feel it will increase.

Where drivers and owner/operators are concerned, 49% of carriers say they'll hire more company drivers while 44% have no plans to change their net number of drivers. Fifty-one per cent said they'll add more O/Os while 47% plan no change.

Most fleets say they don't plan to purchase new equipment, with 73% indicating they won't be adding to their fleet of tractors and 56% saying they won't add trailers over the next quarter. Thirty-eight per cent of responding fleets said they will be adding more trailers to their fleet over the next three months.

Carriers continue to report success in collecting fuel surcharges from shippers, with 91% characterizing their fuel surcharges as "reasonable," up 6% from last quarter. An increasing number of carriers are applying accessorial charges (46% compared to 31% last quarter). Only 2% reported they are not applying accessorial charges, which is the lowest number since the survey was launched in 2008, the OTA notes.

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